re: #41 I Would Prefer Not To
They will change back and forth several times, but the fact that it [AZ] in play is a big win for Democrats.
Also, McSally is, we recall, only in the Senate due to appointee-politics after John McCain died: Kirsten Sinema beat her in the 2018 general (for Flakeās seat), and Martha got the other AZ seat as a consolation prize.
Not sure how attractive a candidate Mark Kelly will ultimately turn out to be: - and of course, the bigoted geezer retiree vote is big in Arizona; but yeah: this is a positive.