re: #397 RogueOne

Obama barely won IN and OH (by 1% in OH IIRC) and I don’t see unemployment coming down enough to cover him even if the nominee is Palin. I don’t feel like I’m really going out on a limb. I think IN, OH, and FL are going to flip on him but he still has more than enough electoral votes to win again.

Here’s a prediction: if Obama loses OH and FL, he loses the election. JFK was the last prez to win without OH, and that’s only because he essentially stole IL.