re: #48 Targetpractice, Worst of Both Worlds

What's hilarious is that, while Newt's poll numbers are in decline in Florida, he's right now leading in the national polls. The TPers really want him as the nominee, but the reality is he's not got the money and organization to contest every state. He really seems to have phoned in his campaign up until he realized he might win the nomination.

Well, his lack of organization is going to cost him badly in February. Most of the contests are caucuses, where organization is key. Mitt Romney and Ron Paul have the edge in such cases. Newt will have to play catch up, and he'll have a tough time doing it.

February also has three primaries, but only one can really help Newt, that one being Missouri on Feb 7th. The other two are Arizona and Michigan, both on the 28th. Romney has the inside track in Arizona (where there are a notable number of Mormon voters and where John McCain supports Mitt) and is a lock in Michigan (Mitt's effective home state).