re: #62 EPR-radar

Fair point. However, I just don’t see a way for Jeb! to win. Even if he wins the primary, he’d be doomed in the general by the combination of relatively low turnout among the GOP base, and the Bush name among sane people.

I don’t think he’ll have to worry about turning out the base in the general, these people really hate democrats, like it’s all they live for type of hate. The name definitely kills him in the general though. I think the hard part for him in the primary is that the establishment candidate has to have a feeling of inevitability and Jeb just doesn’t have that, it wasn’t that long ago when Christie held the “it’s his turn” position before that bridgegate thing went down. So that support will probably bleed to a few other candidates (likely Walker). So it depends on how the hardcore vote splits, if they do it like last time and there is a new front runner every week a candidate like Jeb can pull it off, if someone like Walker holds some of the establishment support while still managing a good chunk of the crazy in each state it will go to that person.