re: #72 piratedan

Gross is in a statistical tie in Alaska against Sullivan, Greenfield is showing as polling ahead of Ernst in Iowa… If we see Hegar and Espy closing in Texas and Mississippi (and they are from the polls trending that I have observed) it could be rather uphill for the GOP.

I wouldn’t count on TX or MS, pleasant thoughts as pickups there might be: but NC, IA and (?MT? ?AK? ?KS?) might be the flips needed to take control of the Senate in the 117th Congress.
So far the only “gimmes” seem to be ME, CO, and AZ (with AL a D-to-R flip, sadly): so a 51-49 R advantage - which means they can only afford to lose 1 more seat to avoid a tied chamber, and only two to avoid Minority status. VERY doable.

ADD: not to want to jinx anything, but most polling seems to show Thom Tillis in NC heading towards retirement, so maybe 50-50 worst case?