re: #814 Pythagoras

Yeah but isn’t the IPCC prediction a curve, with most of the rise later in the century? So, a meter for the whole century might be 8 inches for the first 1/3, 13 inches for the second third and 18 inches for the last third for a total of 39 inches and an — more or less — constant second derivative of sea level.

By the way, their low end is 7 inches for the whole century, right? That’s even lower than the current rate so I’m a bit surprised.

Error bars are significant factors. It is a recognition that models are imperfect. I know we disagree on this. From what I’ve been reading, I just don’t have the confidence that the low end of the predictions is the correct end.