re: #83 Nyet

Everything is frequencies/combinatorics. It’s just factoring in the unknown, as polls come with significant margins of error and thus leave the door open for Trump-win scenarios, with the percentage revealing how many combinations of such MoEs lead to a Trump victory. So, a lotto in the end.

That 10% assumes a free and fair election, but we also know that Trump is amoral, criminal and desperate.

And unlike 2016, he also has the full powers of the Executive at his disposal and a SCOTUS ready to back him up.