re: #84 ipsos

Jones needs huge turnout in Birmingham and Montgomery, and in the “black belt” counties that run across the state just south of Montgomery. If he can hold Moore more or less even in Huntsville and Mobile, it’s good. If Moore starts turning in big numbers in the rural counties in the north and south and in the suburbs around Birmingham and Montgomery, it’s over.

(And at least so far, the NYT projections look cautiously good for Jones. But it’s too damn early.)