re: #80 Love-Child of Cassandra and Sisyphus
So the new IHME model, run on the 5th, has lowered the predicted US deaths by 4 August. The error bars have been tightened a bit too, but still are pretty large:
covid19.healthdata.orgThey explain in their release:
From the article:
IHME forecasts 81,766 deaths, with a range between 49,431 and 136,401
Trump and GOP governors will attempt to take credit when the only reason the numbers will be that low is Democratic governors and local politicians took actions they wouldn’t.