re: #78 Obdicut

There is no real reason to believe that if Iran got a nuke they’d use it on Israel. The only reason to think that is to think that everyone involved in the decision-making process for this act was fanatically suicidal.

It’s possible. It’s not likely. Iran most likely wants a nuke because having nukes gives you a better bargaining position, and because foreign attempts to destroy the nuke program help them maintain control.

Iran knows that the Samson option is always on the table. While I don’t feel entirely comfortable ruling out the idea that they would trigger that in an attempt to bring down Armageddon, my greater fear is that they will use an attack on their program as an opportunity to send missiles at Israel, thereby gaining high Israeli casualties that would not lead to nuclear retaliation. They’d pay, but they’d pay what they might consider an acceptable price for advantage.