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1 Destro  Tue, Aug 28, 2012 5:35:43am

Legalized abortions = less crime (sometimes referred to as the Donohue-Levitt hypothesis. Donohue and Levitt suggest that the absence of unwanted aborted children, following legalization in 1973, led to a reduction in crime 18 years later, starting in 1992 and dropping sharply in 1995. These would have been the peak crime-committing years of the unborn children.)

2 aagcobb  Tue, Aug 28, 2012 5:48:13am

"studies have repeatedly shown that cities with large immigrant populations experience lower rates of violent crime."

That directly contradicts the claims of the bigots and xenophobes. Good to know.

3 Strangeite  Tue, Aug 28, 2012 6:57:42am

re: #1 Destro

Legalized abortions = less crime (sometimes referred to as the Donohue-Levitt hypothesis. Donohue and Levitt suggest that the absence of unwanted aborted children, following legalization in 1973, led to a reduction in crime 18 years later, starting in 1992 and dropping sharply in 1995. These would have been the peak crime-committing years of the unborn children.)

I first read that theory in Freakonomics and it is persuasive. However, since then I have read a competing theory that has excellent data to support its hypothesis.

The banning of lead-based paint in 1978. Lead has been shown to cause not only diminished IQs but has been demonstrated to show an increase in violent behavior.

TL;DR. Less eating of paint chips as a kids = less mugging of grandma on the sidewalk.

4 Destro  Tue, Aug 28, 2012 7:09:45am

re: #3 Strangeite

Interesting. I am sure you are aware of the notion that correlation does not imply causation.

There is also the "broken windows" crime reduction theory.

We actually don't really know.

Were American cities always crime ridden? How far back to records go?

5 Romantic Heretic  Tue, Aug 28, 2012 8:24:53am

My own opinion is that the reason for the decrease in crime is that there are fewer young men around. Most of whom are testosterone addled jackasses.

6 kerFuFFler  Tue, Aug 28, 2012 8:46:22am

re: #3 Strangeite

I've read about both theories and suspect both may have played a role in reduced crime rates. There is no reason it has to be either or. That said, the lead paint evidence was quite compelling.


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