re: #88 kirkspencer

No, it won’t be 2014. Barring something extraordinary, the Republicans will remain in control of the House then - and the hard right will remain strong if not dominant as well. The big driver there is the gerrymandering. Yeah, “both sides do it” but it’s heavily weighted to the Republican side. That’s going to give the Republicans a +10 to +16 advantage over what should be representative balance till at least the next census revision.

The other reason it won’t be 2014 is the spotlight. The presidency is a focused and singular position. It (obviously) exposes regional assumptions to national exposure for both good and bad. Congressional elections, despite being national news, are in reality just local affairs.

A good argument. 2016 should be highly interesting, to say the least. So by your calculation, by 2024 the Theocratic/Nativist wing either gets pushed out of the GOP or will they simply give up on politics and call it a day?