re: #1057 Pythagoras

You’re working on a rather incomplete set of knowledge (as am I). Now you may be correct, and your hypothesis seems reasonable, but there is also a possibility that buffers have, thus far, prevented acceleration in temperature. For example, as CO2 increases in the oceans, it becomes less able to soak up the increases in our atmosphere, and only then will the more rapid increases in CO2 (and thus temperature) become apparent.

It seems that if we take your simple model predicting a linear increase in temperature as correct, but include oceanic buffering of CO2 as a factor, then we can expect an acceleration of temperature in the future.

50 years is pretty short in the geologic sense, and I have no idea what other sorts of non-linearities exist in the system. I presume climate scientists have a better, though still imperfect, understanding.