This guy is one Markos over at dKos often quotes - his military analysis is pretty good.
Why Russia will lose this war?
Much of the “realist” discourse is about accepting Putin’s victory, cuz it’s *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is?
I’ll argue that analysts 1) overrate Russian army 2) underrate Ukrainian one 3) misunderstand Russian strategy & political goals🧵 pic.twitter.com/pXpfIcq3Zs— Kamil Galeev (@kamilkazani) February 27, 2022