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The Latest Idea From the National Review Brain Trust: Stop Hillary by Impeaching Her Now

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lawhawk9/06/2016 4:49:42 pm PDT

Skew/unskew the CNN poll.

The CNN poll is problematic on so many levels, the first being that it’s an outlier on its face - 5-7 points in favor of Trump when all the others show Trump down by 3-5 points. That’s how he ends up with a narrow lead.

So the crosstabs show that CNN’s pollster picked an electorate that is outside what one would consider to be expected in 2016. In fact, it favors Trump because it’s whiter than what other pollsters expect.

I wouldn’t go so far as to claim that the adjusted figures are legit - only that the poll itself is not legit because it’s based on faulty assumptions. It’s the faulty assumptions that drove the results, and trying to rectify those results could introduce other errors/issues.

It’s an outlier. Treat it as such. And watch as all the rest of the polls continue to reinforce a 3-5 point lead for Clinton. Or more. And then the first debate will throw all that out the window.