re: #122 Patricia Kayden

Graham is in a reliably red state so I’m not sure that Trump is hanging around his neck when it comes to his chances of being reelected. Quite frankly, I assume that Graham wants a position in the Trump administration and will angle for one if Trump is reelected in 2020. That explains his willingness to act the fool (like he did during the Kavanaugh hearings) to further Trump’s agenda.

The PVI has South Carolina as R+8, which makes it about as Republican as New Jersey is Democratic. And in most House districts, the GOP lost ground from 2016 to 2018, anywhere from 1% to 9%. If Trump continues to be Trump, we may well see South Carolina move closer to being in pay (Trump’s approval ratings in SC have gone from 56-31 in January ‘17 to 52-43 in December ‘18).