re: #136 kirkspencer

DRI split for most of these is based on a series of polls that basically ask the public if they’re D, R, or I. Perhaps you don’t recall the furor a while back when the number of people claiming to be R went into decline (and the I increased, telling us where most of them went). In fact, Rasmussen is about the only (nominally) independent polling firm that has the Republican numbers the same as the Democratic — and in fact Rasmussen says the R’s are about 5% larger. (vicinity 35% to 30%).

I’d be shocked to see Rasmussen at R+5. Do you have a link for that?