re: #145 Dr Lizardo

Honestly, because AP called it and they have a 99.8% accuracy rating on their calls.

apnews.com

I admit, there’s a slim chance AP could have called it wrong, but I think their analysis of the situation in Arizona is correct.

Nate Cohn says nothing is clear about AZ, Nate Silver says early calls were wrong and should be withdrawn. So no reason for confidence. Could still go to Trump.