re: #156 Belafon

And worse.

As I pointed out earlier, Biden is getting the lions share of the conservative AA vote. And the other non-AA candidates have not done a very good job of breaking through that, in part because most blacks are more conservative than the party as a whole.

I don’t want Biden, but it could be far worse.

I think Biden might experience the reverse of what Obama did in 2008. Then, Obama gained a lot of support from black voters when they saw that white people would vote for him. It’s entirely possible that Biden might lose black voter support if he underperforms in Iowa and/or New Hampshire (hell, it’s entirely possible he’ll lose support across the board in that scenario).