A heartening thread that supports my belief that Russia is fucked. It seems likely most of the military equipment they have pushed into Ukraine is never coming back out, unless sold by Ukrainians as scrap metal.

So any Russian forward movement is likely to be extremely costly. Its hard to imagine now any land assault on Kyiv. Would take two to three more resupplies—and there are indications that Russian morale wont tolerate that (and they might be out of trucks then anyway).

— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) March 7, 2022