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Got Two Big Fish in Iraq

190
jvic4/20/2010 2:22:06 pm PDT

re: #102 Fozzie Bear

It’s about 50-70 years away, at most. The rate of advancement in computer science makes all other technical fields seem glacial in comparison. We will have sentient AI within a century.

Barring a civilizational meltdown, I’m inclined to agree.

Of course, this doesn’t mean people with “Terminator” fantasies aren’t out to lunch, but we are much, MUCH closer than you think to true AI.

Otoh, sentient AI has been a decade away for the last fifty years. (And AI has been a synonym for ‘overpromise and underperform’.)
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I worked for a start-up that used AI technology. A more-than-viable business plan was run into the ground by the presiding soi-disant genius who allocated at most 10% of his time to the enterprise—and micromanaged. Instead of being well-off for life (and able to remain in this discussion), I am at serious financial risk (and must log out to work on my resume and powerpoint charts).