re: #181 MsJ

Hillary had a 93% poll number that she would win.

then we’re talking odds vs the accuracy of the odds

was the 93% wrong? i dont think so
was there a 7% chance she could lose? yup and she did.

the question here is are the polls wrong
and that has to be because trump voters are participating in a poll and saying they will vote for someone else (or are undecided)

if they say that they’re voting for someone else, they’re also inflating some other candidate’s numbers

and enough people are doing this to skew the polls (tweety’s hypothesis)