re: #182 Welcome to The Imbleachment (dangerman)

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Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

A lot of evidence suggests that formal re-opening policies are only loosely correlated with people’s behavior.

FiveThirtyEight had an article similar to this, saying that studies of mobility data showed that people started staying at home before, or even without, state stay-at-home orders:

Cuebiq, a private data company, assessed the movement of people via GPS-enabled mobile devices across the U.S.1 If you look at movement data in a cross-section of states President Trump won in the southeast in 2016 — Tennessee, Georgia, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Carolina and Kentucky — 23 percent of people were staying home on average during the first week of March. That proportion jumped to 47 percent a month later across these six states.
[…]
That’s more or less in line with the country at large, as you can see in the chart below