re: #178 marjoriemoon

Maybe it’s wishful thinking (I have a tendency towards that!), but there would have been a lot more teaparty wins if the country was really lurching Right. I don’t think it is. Anyway, despite whatever wins the Republicans get, in another few generations, they’ll be so small as to be almost non-existent. Immigrants vote Dem, and in another couple generations, the population will be 50% non-white.

I don’t think that the country is lurching right - and that is part of my point. It leaned right in the last election after leaning left in the previous election. The “tipping point” is a delicate balance, and in particular, strategies from the left, by definition, require a more nuanced approach. GOPers can get away with a sledgehammer approach - I don’t think that Dems can. I can’t think of many examples of that working for Dems, and I’ve seen countless examples of it working for the GOP.

No doubt, the long-term demographics speak well for the Dems - but what happens in the meantime is pretty fucking important. I became far less confident about overlooking short-term electoral results after Bush got elected.