Some other election results around Europe could be indicative:

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Serbia

BELGRADE // Serbians voted yesterday for a new president and parliament in polls pitting pro-EU President Boris Tadic against nationalist Tomislav Nikolic amid grinding economic woes.

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Surveys have put Mr Tadic and Mr Nikolic neck-and-neck in the presidential race, and their parties are also running close in the parliamentary elections with surveys giving them about 30 per cent of the vote each.

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German

BERLIN // Exit polls in Germany show that voters in the country’s northernmost state have likely ousted a governing centre-right government made up of the same parties as Chancellor Angela Merkel’s federal coalition.

An exit poll late yesterday for Germany’s public broadcaster ARD says the conservative Christian Democrats secured 30.5 per cent and their coalition partner, the Free Democrats, slid to 8.5 per cent in Schleswig-Holstein state. It says the opposition Social Democrats got 29.5 per cent of the vote, the Greens 14 per cent and the upstart Pirates party achieved seats in the legislature for the first time with 8 per cent. A party representing the Danish minority secured 4.5 per cent.

While the opposition failed to secure an outright majority, the Social Democrats could form a coalition government with the Greens and the party of the Danish minority.

Merkel’s coalition is waning, but the big surprise is that the Pirates have come on so strongly.

The nationalists in Serbia will probably find energy from the growing nationalist/nazi movement in Greece.