I asked myself this very question and the answer, based on actual statistical modeling (because I am a person who Does The Maths for a living) is NO

@jjauthor @peddoc63 @surfermom77 @Bobbyh214 @2AFight @notdramadriven @KenWahl1 @Snap_Politics #vote #tcot #Vote2014 pic.twitter.com/vaT68uTnIQ

— MP44 (@shootingfurfun) November 4, 2014