re: #189 Racer X

The time for a military confrontation with Iran has passed. Iran will NOT attack another country directly; they will instead pass off a nuke to a third party terrorist group to do the dirty work. Then Iran can deny any involvement, hence no retaliatory strike by the West.

We’re fucked.

I have to agree with this, and I don’t believe Israel is going to carry out any attack. Rather, the West will eventually realize that they have to switch off the SEP field that they’ve thrown around Iran (SEP = Somebody Else’s Problem, hat tip to Douglas Adams) and focus extremely seriously on covert or even overt operations which will deny third party nut-jobs access to nuclear weaponry. If, during this fun time, there’s a regime change for the better in Iran, perhaps the problem will go away. Also, if Iran stays silent on the day when they become a nuclear power (if that day hasn’t already occurred), there’ll be less pressure for a regional nuclear arms race, another thing that really should be avoided at all costs.