Let’s check in on Sweden, the example that Right-wingers use to claim that we can go without shutdowns:

The Social Democrat-led government of the prime minister, Stefan Löfven, postponed a planned easing of some restrictions in late March until at least 3 May, but has insisted tougher measures are not yet needed to bring the latest surge under control.

The Swedish public had “really changed its behaviour and daily life is, to a very great extent, already very restricted”, said the health minister, Lena Hallengren.

Sweden has highest new Covid cases per person in Europe
theguardian.com