This might be a bit of a hot take, but I suspect that if we’re speculating about the likelihood of election-night and post-election acts of MAGA terrorism, people whose job it is to game out those sorts of scenarios have also speculated along these same lines. I hope I’m not wrong; 1/6/2021 did happen, after all (though a lot of that was willful blindness and inaction, not as much a failure to predict).