A+ grade Monmouth poll has Biden up +11 or +8 (two different models) in Pennsylvania. I looked at 538’s 2016 forecast, and Clinton had similar leads to Biden in the key Rustbelt states after the EW recording was released, but before the Comey letter. However this year there are few undecideds to swing, and Covid, not Emails, is the overwhelmingly dominant issue in this race. Truly bizarre, looking back 4 years, that a presidential race was dominated by the issue of compliance with State Department email protocols.