re: #281 Hecuba’s daughter

Using latest figures, the mortality rate in Germany is now 1%, with over 75% of reported cases still active. Looking at closed cases only, the CFR is 4% (the same as China’s probably bogus numbers which has only 2.6% still active), but hopefully as more cases resolve, the rate will decline to my prediction of 1.5%.

Last night, a friend who lives in Chicago told me that another resident on her floor was taken to the hospital. Who knows how many may contract the disease by sharing an elevator with someone ill or perhaps even just using the elevator some time later.

So far, Germany’s health care system is not being overburdened. Some clinics have reached capacity but they are not turning people away in numbers.

When I was visiting my GF near Düsseldorf (second weekend in March just before restrictions were imposed) I walked up the four flights of stairs to her apartment rather than share an elevator with anyone.