re: #273 Killgore Trout

I think it’s possible. He has problems with his own base but so does Obama. If he plays it right I think he has a decent chance.

Actually polls show that Obama is fine with his base.

Real Clear Politics’ latest data crunching pegs the President’s average approval among Democrats at a robust 76.8%. (For comparison, in October of 1995, soon-to-be-re-elected Bill Clinton’s Democratic support was a near-identical 77%, according to Gallup.) And what of the real left? The ones whose disappointment has been given voice by people like Drew Westen to Paul Krugman? It turns out self-identified liberals’ support for Obama isn’t far behind at 72% in Gallup’s latest tracking data. (The same group gave Clinton 65% approval in 1995)….

Romney quite literally has no base. That’s why he’s at 25% in the polls even thought he’s been running for president for 5 years and nobody else is jumping in the race. The GOP field is closed and he has had no movement in national polls, he may win the nomination, but he’s the weakest front runner I’ve ever seen with no natural constituency.