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Ben Folds Five at Their Best: "Philosophy" (From Sessions at West 54th) [VIDEO]

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Hecuba's daughter3/29/2020 9:07:03 am PDT

re: #253 NetworkKed

We’re nowhere near 3%. Yes, the testing numbers are certainly low by a factor of 2 to 10, but that maybe gets it to .5%. If it truly is at 3%, then either we’re totally missing 300,000+ dead bodies or it really is less deadly than recent flu….
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3. And with hospitals overwhelmed, other emergency medical care doesn’t exist, so you lose maybe another .1% to 1%.

Which (raw ballpark) numbers something like 30-40 million dead in the US.
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Just a couple comments: If it were 3%, then we would expect 9,000,000 cases — and at a 1% mortality rate, it would be 90,000 deaths — not 300,000 missing deaths.

I think the total extra deaths due directly or indirectly if we don’t take more action could be 3-6 million, not 30 to 40 million.