re: #293 NO SMOCKING GUN!

A +5 Iowa poll from Monmouth (high quality pollster) for Biden moves Iowa to tossup at fivethirtyeight.com. That is actually the low turnout model. So many Democrats have already voted that Republicans will have to turnout in big numbers to make it close (+3 Biden for high turnout). Greenfield also leads Ernst.

Hence the “immigrants are coming to kill your children” advert from Ernst in the Omaha market the other day (which covers Steve King’s district).