Comment

Overnight Open Thread

330
lawhawk2/04/2011 9:19:12 am PST

Myanmar/Burma’s junta has chosen new president, but the junta’s top dog is still pulling the strings for the moment at least:

Prime Minister Thein Sein was chosen on Friday to become president in Myanmar’s new civilian-led political set-up, nominally at least becoming head of state as the country’s junta steps down.

The big question is: what will junta supremo Than Shwe do now?

IS THAN SHWE SIMPLY STEPPING ASIDE?

Unlikely. The presidency is probably something the military strongman never really wanted. The rise of one of his most trusted associates in a choreographed parliamentary vote suggests Than Shwe will remain in charge, but behind the scenes.

The reclusive junta boss is not suited to the public role required of a president. He rarely attends public events or gives speeches and has not spoken to the media in years. His state visits have been restricted to neighboring India and China.

IS IT A SURPRISE THAN SHWE DIDN’T BECOME PRESIDENT?

To a certain extent, yes. Many experts say the 78-year-old Than Shwe is seriously worried about what might happen to him and his family, and they assumed he was reluctant to put power into the hands of someone else, even a loyalist.

Than Shwe has made many enemies and he knows it. He’s not too bothered about Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi or the public. His real fear is probably people in the military he has crossed swords with, demoting them or forcing them into retirement.