re: #13 weave

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WHY WHY WHY is this turning around?

Is Trump doing some massive ad buys in these states? Even if so, why would that be effective? Do people have that short of a memory? What sort of scandal is it going to take before it will change people’s minds and make it stick?

Is this trend going to continue? :-(

(source: fivethirtyeight.com if not obvious)

It’s not turning around. 538’s model is just insanely reactive and desperately wants to revert to a horserace whenever possible.