re: #375 dangerman

wapo/abc poll has biden up 10 and only 2% undecided in a biden/trump matchup (no third party)

To be fair, this ^^^ is an oversimplification. Decided voters can sometimes change their minds. Or polls can be wrong and estimate turnout incorrectly. But empirically, it’s not super easy to come back when your opponent is already at ~50%. Very different than 2016, BTW.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 27, 2020