re: #367 Targetpractice

And a glance at The Upshot shows that 538 is pretty much the odd man out, with most other models showing Hillary’s chances at 70% or better. So either Nate is somehow tapped into some vein of uncertainty that others are missing or his model is seriously out of whack. My money is still that he’s written his model this year to overemphasize the negative and downplay the positive in order to generate traffic. Because ESPN has signaled that sites that don’t pull their own weight will be circular-filed and it’s a long 2 years until the midterms.

I disagree. Based on the recent polling, its not at all unreasonable to believe that Trump has about one-chance-in-three of winning, despite how uncomfortable that makes us. We need to be stressed that there is a distinct possibility that Trump could win this thing, dog forbid.