re: #28 Charles Johnson

Let’s take RCP’s own map showing no toss up states, which gives Obama the win.

With tossups, they still give Obama an advantage - 251 to 181, with 106EV undecided.

The 106EV breaks down as follows:
Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
Iowa (6)
Missouri (10)
Nevada (6)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio (18)
Virginia (13)

If Obama wins Florida, that plus the other 251 expected to go his way (by RCP’s own figures), then he wins. Mitt essentially has to sweep to win.

In other words, even with RCP’s built in biases to the right, Romney’s still in bad shape where it counts - in the EC.