Comment

New CNN Poll: Obama Leads Romney by 7 Points

41
Ming8/09/2012 2:53:01 pm PDT

re: #4 Targetpractice

Supposedly the whole thing is about trying to win swing states, but I can’t think of a swing state governor or Congress critter who wouldn’t just further drag down his campaign.

I’m afraid I must be a bit negative, and caution that with the efforts (reported in LGF and elsewhere) of Republicans to pass voter ID laws in swing states, notably Florida and Pennsylvania, we should all want to know if these polls will reflect voters who are not only likely voters, but who will actually be ELIGIBLE to vote on November 6.

In several blogs (and other news sources), I see poll after poll, but I never see a qualifier such as: “the population sampled for this poll reflects the population that will be eligible to vote in Pennsylvania, in accordance with the voter ID laws of that state.”

I really would love to enjoy the good news that Obama is polling well, and Romney has high unfavorable ratings. I really would. But the voter ID laws have a purpose. And it doesn’t take much to swing an election… look at Florida in 2000. (Or, to be fair, Illinois in 1960.)