🧵I talked with an Estonian analyst who has access to info and who I regard as one of the best we have here. His main conclusion: “The danger is far from over but there is reason for a very cautious optimism. Russian advance has clearly stalled.” More below:

— Holger Roonemaa (@holger_r) March 11, 2022

Another military analyst thread. TL;DR: Russia still looks pretty fucked. There was a report going around yesterday worrying about the Southern flank and how Russia has more materiel there, but it ignored the logistics, personnel, and morale issues that didn’t just go away.