re: #422 Sir John Barron
I have Hilz at 278 EV for tomorrow.
I’ve been made confident about NV, so I gave her those 6 votes. I’m giving her the upper Mid West (MN, WI, MI), all of New England except for one EV in Maine, PA, Colorado, NM, the Pacific Rim and the Atlantic states.
Would love for more, but this is all I’m reasonably confident in right now.
Being reasonably confident in 278 ain’t bad. Honestly I feel pretty good. The only Obama state I don’t feel too bullish on is Iowa. I was feeling that way about Ohio too but then I saw the early vote turnout photos and I feel that it’s winnable though I think it will be by a tight margin- this is where her ground game will be vital.