re: #430 HappyWarrior

What bothers me about what Nate’s doing is how his probability swings too quickly. Just a couple weeks ago he had Clinton winning FL by a very good probability, now he has it favoring Trump(albeit as a toss-up more so) but with the rise of early voting, most voters making their choice well before election day, I just think he’s being too cute at times. I will grant that Nate understands polling and elections much better than I do but I think he’s being too cutesy.

Yeah, think I’ll pay more attention to PEC and The Upshot.