re: #434 HappyWarrior

As I’ve said, Sam is more of an academic. I’m not saying Nate is unintelligent or even that I think he has an agenda but I really prefer Professor Wang since let’s be honest, Nate has become a bit of a celebrity, Professor Wang is someone studies statistics and probability as part of his career.

A lot of people have said that Silver has “sold out” and gone for the clickbait, because ESPN. I think his punditry (articles he posts, headlines, Twitter) has gone that way, but I think the reactivity and volatility of the model has more to do with his fear of being wrong. He got spooked by missing Trump’s rise and is hedging his bets, either intentionally or unintentionally, by tweaking either the input polls or the model itself.