re: #470 sattv4u2

I don’t think many active and current dr’s will bail
Yes, some will retire at late 50’s early 60’s instead of waiting.

But the 30-40 year olds, they won’t. What other proffesion are they trained for?
What MAY happen though is that enrollment in med schools may shrink, so short term we’ll have the staus quo as far as numbers opf docs, but in 15-20 years when the current crop 0f 35-45 year olds start retiring ,,, YIKES

You’re right that the change won’t be immediate, but the problem will come on faster then 15-20 years I think. If you have reduced numbers on both the leading and trailing points of medical careers while the demand skyrockets as the boomers have started retiring, I’d say it will become noticeable in as little as 5 years.