re: #50 KGxvi

I don’t think so. They’re too busy trying to gain (and hold) territory in Syria and Iraq. In that regard, they are acting more like a traditional state than a non-state actor. But an attack in Iran would only serve to give Iran a basis to step up its efforts against ISIL in Iraq and Syria. So there’s no strategic advantage to doing so, at least at this time.

Of course, it’s entirely possible that they act in a non-rational way in the midst of a war, we’ve seen that plenty of times in history. Like when Napoleon and Hitler tried to take Moscow during the winter; or Imperial Japan deciding to bomb Pearl Harbor; or a few other examples of states trying to fight two front wars.

Well, they did just commit a devastating attack in Quetta yesterday.

And they have dreams of conquering Iran as well.