re: #542 Cato the Elder

I have called every presidential election since 1968, when I was twelve, months in advance.

If Palin runs in 2012, she will win the nomination. If she gets that, she will win the general election. Don’t believe me? Bets are open.

I’d probably bet you! I think you’re being way pessimistic, but I’d take your money! I’d want the exact terms though.

Palin will probably win the nomination because he has a brand and no other Republican has a brand. Nobody is pulling the base like she is. I wouldn’t take that bet, because the GOP could totally nominate her.

But she won’t win the election. She’ll be paved over by the most advanced internet-era campaign apparatus the world has ever seen.