re: #55 Obdicut
I worked in this area for 3 years. I understand it pretty well. you can check the link I provided showing the 37/28/31 number on page 76. Granted that’s for registered voters, and the Likely voter skew is less. It’s still way too high.
And it’s a little odd to say I don’t understand the polling thing when this is clearly the rogue poll out of the five released in the past 2 days (Obama: -1, +1, +1, +3, +8). Why would anyone jump on the +8?