New outlets and their headlines… this one from CBS:
New data: Donald Trump loses support ahead of South Carolina primary
Sounds serious, right?
Well, here’s the results of all their wonky machinations:
If we apply these switch rates to our previous results, here is how we would now estimate the vote split in Saturday’s primary:
Donald Trump — 36 percent
Ted Cruz — 22 percent
Marco Rubio — 21 percent
John Kasich — 8 percent
Jeb Bush — 4 percent
Other — 7 percent
So Trump now, in CBS’ calculation, only leads by 14.