re: #70 calochortus
Polls have been all over the lot on that race. Quinnipiac had Cruz ahead by 9 points with “likely voters” a couple days ago. Others have been basically dead heats. It’s all about the turnout.
It’s always about turnout — and Democratic voters have traditionally had more problems with reliability; of course, part of that is our voters often have jobs that interfere with getting to the polls, especially if there isn’t any convenient early voting.